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Macau’s casino operators are anticipated to report a 23% quarter-on-quarter decrease in Corporate EBITDA for the three months to 31 March 2021, impacted by seasonality and an increase in working charges, in accordance to expenditure lender Morgan Stanley.

With results period just about the corner, Morgan Stanley analysts estimate that sector-extensive Home EBITDA will exhibit a 13% decline compared to 4Q20 to US$256 million and Corporate EBITDA – explained as Home EBITDA minus company costs – a 23% decline to US$181 million.

The lessen quantities are expected regardless of an 8% sequential enhance in gross gaming earnings to MOP$23.6 billion (US$2.95 billion), driven by growth in the quality mass section.

In a Monday notice, Morgan Stanley’s Praveen Choudhary, Gareth Leung and Thomas Allen claimed the predicted 23% decline in Corporate EBITDA was principally thanks to seasonality – together with weaker retail, resort and F&B revenues – and greater opex as a final result of uneven recovery in 1Q21.

“Macau each day opex was down 31% year-on-year in 4Q20,” they state. “In 1Q21, we estimate most operators will have noticed 5% to 8% quarter-on-quarter increased opex (nevertheless at -27% vs 1Q19) due to uneven recovery (much better March than January and February).”

The analysts mentioned they anticipate mass profits and EBITDA to have shown sequential advancement for Sands China, Wynn Macau and Melco Resorts when compared with declines for Galaxy Amusement Group, MGM China and SJM.